If your baby isn't dying from an overdose of Strontium 90 from mother's breast milk , it isn't for want of trying on the part of the permanently teenage males who brought us the first Manhattan Project.
They would have polished and re-polished the turd that is atomic bombs , with their deadly atmospheric tests, until all of us were full of atomic fallout radiation - including themselves.
Lessons for climate saving un-superheroes from Janus Manhattan '45. The MANHATTAN nuclear PROJECT worked against Nature, causing (rather than preventing) environmental disaster. The MANHATTAN penicillin PROJECT worked with Nature, giving humanity a lasting boon.
Showing posts with label climate change. Show all posts
Showing posts with label climate change. Show all posts
Saturday, December 27, 2014
'Weaponizing' the Wind
The Allies actively 'weaponized' the wind to increase the lethalness of two death-creators during WWII (fire bombs and atomic radiation) and had fall back plans to use it with two others (chemicals and germs).
The Axis did weaponize the wind with the latter two (Japan with germs and Italy with chemical gas).
But it may be said that the elites of these modern nations all did so very, very reluctantly --- even secretly.
For handing over some of their total powers over life and death to Nature (the wind) was as about as comfortable for these male elites of superior races as it would be if they offered to share those powers with women, the poor , the unfit and the lesser races.
For pre WWII modernity was all about illusions of total control and total precision and total predictability and the wayward wind held none of those attributes.
The Axis did weaponize the wind with the latter two (Japan with germs and Italy with chemical gas).
But it may be said that the elites of these modern nations all did so very, very reluctantly --- even secretly.
For handing over some of their total powers over life and death to Nature (the wind) was as about as comfortable for these male elites of superior races as it would be if they offered to share those powers with women, the poor , the unfit and the lesser races.
For pre WWII modernity was all about illusions of total control and total precision and total predictability and the wayward wind held none of those attributes.
Saturday, December 20, 2014
Silent Majority Boomers - not their parents - running (and ruining) this planet
I've changed my thinking - at least a little.
I still believe that the most extreme and the most vocal supporters of climate change denial are older people - men mostly - in their eighties - people who were teenagers at the very apogee of Modernity and who thus naturally find it hardest to change ingrained habits.
Rupert Murdoch is a prime example of this sort of 'changed reality' denier.
But Murdoch and his generation aren't running and ruining this world - at least not officially.
My generation - the Boomers - is.
The unacknowledged divisions within the Boomer Generation
I still believe that the most extreme and the most vocal supporters of climate change denial are older people - men mostly - in their eighties - people who were teenagers at the very apogee of Modernity and who thus naturally find it hardest to change ingrained habits.
Rupert Murdoch is a prime example of this sort of 'changed reality' denier.
But Murdoch and his generation aren't running and ruining this world - at least not officially.
My generation - the Boomers - is.
Tuesday, December 2, 2014
Deniers NEVER deny problems - merely deny that they can't be as easily solved as Superman jumps over buildings...
Take human-originated baneful climate change : climate deniers don't deny that it could exist, merely that if and when it emerges, it will be a quick job for Batman , Spiderman or Captain America to clear up.
Nobody who makes a living solving problems (and let's see , that includes all politicians, all business people, all experts & professionals, all generals, church leaders, on and on) ever denies that problems (their very bread and butter) don't exist.
Far from it -- they are far more likely to see problems where none exist (widespread satanic cults eating our babies anyone ?) or over-exaggerate those that do exist (just as police chiefs always seem to see a growing crime wave just before proposed budget cuts.)
The only thing that most deny is the problems can't be solved or solved relatively easily.
Nobody who makes a living solving problems (and let's see , that includes all politicians, all business people, all experts & professionals, all generals, church leaders, on and on) ever denies that problems (their very bread and butter) don't exist.
Far from it -- they are far more likely to see problems where none exist (widespread satanic cults eating our babies anyone ?) or over-exaggerate those that do exist (just as police chiefs always seem to see a growing crime wave just before proposed budget cuts.)
The only thing that most deny is the problems can't be solved or solved relatively easily.
Sunday, November 30, 2014
Open Commensal Publishing : because on climate change , pace President Obama or the NAS , 7 billion heads are better than one or even 2000
Open Commensal Publishing simply means that anyone should have a right to publish --- without either commercial , professional or academic gatekeepers pre-censoring that right.
Laws of Libel still apply.
And peer (and non-peer) reviews still happen under this approach --- as they do now, after publication --- whether that publication was pre-vetted or not.
Laws of Libel still apply.
And peer (and non-peer) reviews still happen under this approach --- as they do now, after publication --- whether that publication was pre-vetted or not.
Friday, July 4, 2014
Unfitting-in : Penicillin-for-All overcomes the Allied-Axis groupthink
The academic cum scientific consensus supporting eugenics was once as widespread as the academic cum scientific consensus that human activity is causing climate change is today.
I point this out , despite the fact that I do personally believe human activity is altering the climate and I do not believe that the concepts fit and unfit can ever be anything other than temporary and relative labels in a particular circumstance.
Just as the concepts of "inevitably left wing universities" or "inevitably right wing universities" are equally fleeting when set against the breath of time and were highly dependent on particular circumstances to be accurate.
Once , in many cities the only polling precincts that FDR ever lost were the university precincts - whereas today the only precincts won by losing Democrats in many cities are the university precincts.
Politics in the UK before our current era of post-modernism revealed much the same thing - the weakest seats for Labor used to be the university ridings.
Widespread groupthink (consensus) , particularly one that finds favour among the powerful , can always benefit from a ton of criticism by misfits, the unfit, the non-conformist, the naysayer and doubter, the gadfly, iconoclast and the deviant.
And if that consensus has a core of merit it will survive --- and in an improved form.
But when the current academic cum scientific consensus was that all such critics are ipso facto 'useless mouths' and 'life unworthy of life', as in the case of attempts to criticize eugenic modernity, what we have here sir is global groupthink on bad acid and in spades.
Under such circumstances , genuine differences of opinion become genetic-ized and biological-ized such that anyone who does not agree that only heterosexual married families with kids are 'normal' is probably themself a genetic deviant homosexual and shouldn't be allowed to reproduce -- let alone argue their case.
Similarly, capitalists and racists removed any potential criticism from the poor and minorities in advance by regarding them all as biologically unfit and hence unworthy of life let alone the right to criticize.
Eugenic supporters described many - quite openly - as biologically 'unfit'.
But eugenic supporters failed to admit that they also regarded these biologically 'unfit' as 'unfitting-in' with white Anglo Saxon Protestant middle class values - of not being team players in the great groupthink....
I point this out , despite the fact that I do personally believe human activity is altering the climate and I do not believe that the concepts fit and unfit can ever be anything other than temporary and relative labels in a particular circumstance.
Just as the concepts of "inevitably left wing universities" or "inevitably right wing universities" are equally fleeting when set against the breath of time and were highly dependent on particular circumstances to be accurate.
Once , in many cities the only polling precincts that FDR ever lost were the university precincts - whereas today the only precincts won by losing Democrats in many cities are the university precincts.
Politics in the UK before our current era of post-modernism revealed much the same thing - the weakest seats for Labor used to be the university ridings.
Widespread groupthink (consensus) , particularly one that finds favour among the powerful , can always benefit from a ton of criticism by misfits, the unfit, the non-conformist, the naysayer and doubter, the gadfly, iconoclast and the deviant.
And if that consensus has a core of merit it will survive --- and in an improved form.
But when the current academic cum scientific consensus was that all such critics are ipso facto 'useless mouths' and 'life unworthy of life', as in the case of attempts to criticize eugenic modernity, what we have here sir is global groupthink on bad acid and in spades.
Under such circumstances , genuine differences of opinion become genetic-ized and biological-ized such that anyone who does not agree that only heterosexual married families with kids are 'normal' is probably themself a genetic deviant homosexual and shouldn't be allowed to reproduce -- let alone argue their case.
Similarly, capitalists and racists removed any potential criticism from the poor and minorities in advance by regarding them all as biologically unfit and hence unworthy of life let alone the right to criticize.
Eugenic supporters described many - quite openly - as biologically 'unfit'.
But eugenic supporters failed to admit that they also regarded these biologically 'unfit' as 'unfitting-in' with white Anglo Saxon Protestant middle class values - of not being team players in the great groupthink....
Tuesday, May 27, 2014
WWII as a preview of the Sixth Extinction
The most frequent contribution most of us (scientist or laity) make to the public debate about the Climate is to discuss our beliefs about changes that may (or may not) happen sometime in the future , when human hubris collides with natural reality.
Unfortunately , that leaves more than enough "ifs and maybes" for many other citizens to permanently tune out on this all important public debate.
By contrast, The Mills of Nature discusses what actually did happen in the recent past , when pure human hubris really did get seriously stuck axle deep in the dirt of natural reality.
To protect the guilty and the inept , WWII history has normally been told back to front : 'the Allies won the war in 1945 --- and here is how it all happened'.
It becomes distilled down a human drama between six extremely ham-ish actors, all judged more than capable of eating the scenery.
Cue the headline : "Scenery Eating Actors"
Churchill, Hitler, Stalin, Mussolini, FDR and Tojo were still better known for extraordinarily skills in speech-making and morale-raising than for any administrative prowess they might have had.
But the current historical consensus about WWII argues they were just the kind of leadership needed to fight this sort of war.
So we end with this intimate human drama , a clash between the six men fronting the six biggest civilizations, played out for us above the footlights .
Meanwhile, far back at the ranch , Mother Nature is nothing but an uninteresting and inert painted backdrop.
However, there is another way to tell the story of WWII.
It proceeds more conventionally, from front to back, detailing what Allies, Axis and Neutrals actually thought would happen, day by day, and then contrasting that with what actually did happen.
As a result, it ends up telling a far more downbeat story.
Now we can clearly see human ambitions, on all sides, stymied time and time and time again by natural forces.
And by humans that each side regarded as less than fully civilized and thus less than fully human - people in some sense also seen by most as 'just another part of the natural world.'
Nature (and 'these people of the natural world') turned out to be very far from inert --- for six long years it resists Civilized Man's vaulting ambitions at every turn.
So for but one example , over and over again a bad - natural - harvest of the lowly potato in Germany led to the human decision to see that more Slavs and Jews further East were starved or shot to death.
Even now, few us really believe it was Generalissimo Stalin , rather than General Frost and General Mud, who really saved Russia in 1941.
So once again cue the headline : "Scenery Eating Actors".
But this time , read it with the accent on scenery and not on actors .
I hope you find this Green history of WWII a humbling and healing affair.
Yes it does cut us down to size before the vastness of an ever turbulent Mother Nature .
But hopefully it will also help us give the lesson on the dangers of Climate Change, before we get to the final exam....
Unfortunately , that leaves more than enough "ifs and maybes" for many other citizens to permanently tune out on this all important public debate.
By contrast, The Mills of Nature discusses what actually did happen in the recent past , when pure human hubris really did get seriously stuck axle deep in the dirt of natural reality.
To protect the guilty and the inept , WWII history has normally been told back to front : 'the Allies won the war in 1945 --- and here is how it all happened'.
It becomes distilled down a human drama between six extremely ham-ish actors, all judged more than capable of eating the scenery.
Cue the headline : "Scenery Eating Actors"
Churchill, Hitler, Stalin, Mussolini, FDR and Tojo were still better known for extraordinarily skills in speech-making and morale-raising than for any administrative prowess they might have had.
But the current historical consensus about WWII argues they were just the kind of leadership needed to fight this sort of war.
So we end with this intimate human drama , a clash between the six men fronting the six biggest civilizations, played out for us above the footlights .
Meanwhile, far back at the ranch , Mother Nature is nothing but an uninteresting and inert painted backdrop.
However, there is another way to tell the story of WWII.
It proceeds more conventionally, from front to back, detailing what Allies, Axis and Neutrals actually thought would happen, day by day, and then contrasting that with what actually did happen.
As a result, it ends up telling a far more downbeat story.
Now we can clearly see human ambitions, on all sides, stymied time and time and time again by natural forces.
And by humans that each side regarded as less than fully civilized and thus less than fully human - people in some sense also seen by most as 'just another part of the natural world.'
Nature (and 'these people of the natural world') turned out to be very far from inert --- for six long years it resists Civilized Man's vaulting ambitions at every turn.
So for but one example , over and over again a bad - natural - harvest of the lowly potato in Germany led to the human decision to see that more Slavs and Jews further East were starved or shot to death.
Even now, few us really believe it was Generalissimo Stalin , rather than General Frost and General Mud, who really saved Russia in 1941.
So once again cue the headline : "Scenery Eating Actors".
But this time , read it with the accent on scenery and not on actors .
I hope you find this Green history of WWII a humbling and healing affair.
Yes it does cut us down to size before the vastness of an ever turbulent Mother Nature .
But hopefully it will also help us give the lesson on the dangers of Climate Change, before we get to the final exam....
Friday, April 19, 2013
1943 : UK overheats the heavens.... while Bengal starves
Churchill always claimed that the UK just couldn't spare the shipping needed to help feed the starving millions in British Bengal in 1943.
But it turns out that what Bengal's would-be rescue ships were really needed for was to bring the millions and millions of gallons of overseas petroleum to the UK, to feed the FIDO systems set up around British airfields beginning in 1943.
Burning petroleum at a rate as high as one to two hundred thousand gallons of fuel per hour, per airfield, was used to create an artificial climate above the airfields - literally burning off the ever-present British fog so bombers could take off and land in all kinds of weather, night or day.
Climate Change and Global Warming, RAF-style.
For those lanky, metallic, mechanized citizens of the British Empire must be feed at all costs, even if the darker human citizens of the Empire must starve to make it so.
The relentless logic of Modernity ....
But it turns out that what Bengal's would-be rescue ships were really needed for was to bring the millions and millions of gallons of overseas petroleum to the UK, to feed the FIDO systems set up around British airfields beginning in 1943.
Burning petroleum at a rate as high as one to two hundred thousand gallons of fuel per hour, per airfield, was used to create an artificial climate above the airfields - literally burning off the ever-present British fog so bombers could take off and land in all kinds of weather, night or day.
Climate Change and Global Warming, RAF-style.
For those lanky, metallic, mechanized citizens of the British Empire must be feed at all costs, even if the darker human citizens of the Empire must starve to make it so.
The relentless logic of Modernity ....
Thursday, December 27, 2012
America sure loves its minutemen and riflemen - except during wartime
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| MOS 745 (circa 1780) |
Do you think that wartime penicillin should just be for healthy young scallywags who cheat on their wives but are still fully combat-ready or do you think it should be "wasted" on the dying of all nations, races and creeds ?
Some things never change and the skygods and earthlings still mix it up to oppose each other as much today on gun control and climate change as they did back almost 75 years ago on the best uses for wartime penicillin.
Skygods sure love their guns and sure believe in an America where every man had a gun handy, to defend his family or his nation at a minute's notice.
One can't see much American culture without noticing the omnipresence of two very old symbols from yesterday in this land of tomorrow : the Revolutionary Era Minuteman and the post-Civil War Western rifleman.
It was much the same during WWII, where ads and movie iconography always focused on the modern day minuteman cum rifleman : the Army MOS 745 , the infantry trade of rifleman.
But reality spoke quite differently.
Any one moment in time, only about one American in one thousand (that's about 150,000 people) were actually up in the combat lines, fighting, as MOS 745s.
A few more were in the pipeline waiting their turn, while the vast bulk of America was - in the most profound sense - merely holding the rifleman's cloak.
Nobody much , in reality, actually wanted to be a real life rifleman or minuteman in good old WWII.
Dressing up and playing a Minuteman was lots of fun
As a result, the few MOS 745s America could obtain were almost all conscripts : generally those who were the poorest in life skills and formal education and often (a real shocker !) smaller and thinner than the non-combat boys in the rear echelons of the war.
This is why so much of the Allied debate over wartime penicillin involved these MOS 745s : they were so very few in number.
And so if the one-in-a-thousand American who was a MOS 745 was out of combat-readiness only temporarily because of something that penicillin could quickly fix, then the other 999 out of a 1000 Americans who weren't riflemen and didn't want to be riflemen, were much in favour of giving him scarce penicillin.
That was much better than "wasting it" (to use Winston Churchill's own infamous words) on some gravely wounded MOS 475 who was never was going to be able to fight again - even if he did survive his infection.
They call that rational instrumentality, and it was the hallmark of the Age of Modernity :' use 'em and then toss 'em aside like a used condom, the minute they are of no further use to you'.
Pretty sickening isn't , what granddad and grandma were up to (morally speaking) back between 1939 and 1945: doesn't it make you want to just go off somewhere and wash your hands till they bleed with some good strong soap ?
Tuesday, November 6, 2012
Watching the Deniers lose the election over Climate Change is Grim : Ryan Grim, the blogger who brought them down
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| KOCH BROS suffer a GRIM fate |
Blogosphere brings down the GOP with just one post
His brief blog post - recollecting Romney a year earlier vowed to kill FEMA, stalled the Mitten's "BIG MO" - nixed, at the stroke of a computer keyboard, all the billions the reality-deniers spent in dark money, trying to steal the American election.
Sandy-the-storm could have gone either way, in terms of any incumbent president's popularity .
This is because no true storm of the century can ever be cleaned up in a week or so - leaving a whole lot of cold, hungry, tired people ready to blame anyone and everybody - particularly the person at the top.
But a less than miracle-working but still highly efficient federal rescue effort is a hell and a half better than no federal rescue effort at all - such as Romney had proposed to provide if he was elected.
FEMA suddenly became the fastest and simplest way to tell Dems and GOP election promises apart - and many people suddenly recalled that Obama's much hated support for big government could look pretty good ,whenever big storms come calling.
And with climate change promising more and more bigger and bigger storms, maybe Obama and the Democrats had a point, after all.......
Sunday, October 28, 2012
Horse and Buggy Era political party "isms" vs today's new scientific reality : not up for the job ?
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| I am pro MULTIPLE choice ! |
But once in government, our party ideologies, those beloved "isms" of Liberalism, Conservatism and Socialism, are as rigid and unchanging today as at their birth 150 to 200 years ago - when the Horse and Buggy, not the Airbus A380, reigned supreme.
There you have our prolonged Global Climate crisis in a nutshell : Science has moved on in the 150 years since the exuberant Mid-Victorian Era and its naive optimism about Man's ability to control Reality, but our political "isms" remain locked in some dusty time warp.
By education, I am a political scientist, but my abiding interest is in physical science ---- but with the proviso that I view all science as political !
When I say Science has changed, I lie.
Oh yes, public (formally peer reviewed published) science has changed greatly since the 1860s : moving from an overwhelming emphasis on PRODUCTION science (science of the hubris-laden first law of thermodynamics) to a new emphasis on IMPACT science (science of the more-somber second law of thermodynamics).
But popular (aka public school science) science has not changed a pinch since the days of total Anglo Saxon Protestant dominance of science.
Newton, Dalton and Darwin still reign supreme and nothing of dour 20th century science, let alone that of the 21st century, dares stain the ever-optimistic laboratories and textbooks of your average high school science course.
Like Carthage, our current high school science boosterism 'must be destroyed' .
The writing and selecting of Public School textbooks ( physical and social science texts above all) are not really in the hands of teachers and scientists ---- they reveal instead the dead weight of the political-commercial elites who really run departments of education and district school boards.
All they ask of high school textbooks is that they are "uplifting" and "positive" (Service Club Boosterism science, as it were).
Ever more and more of that time-old Mid Victorian optimism that science can do almost anything and even if it (temporarily and locally) messes up ,science can also step in to fix the mess.
See it as a case of an ever more optimistic frantic whistling, past our current 'grave' climate graveyard.
If we truly want to save the planet and prevent global climate disaster, setting our sights and scopes on our truly God-awful high school science Babbitry would be an pretty good place to start......
Friday, August 31, 2012
Blame OSSIAN, not Obama, for why American Skeptics deny Climate Change
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| Ossian, godfather of CLIMATE CHANGE ! |
Ossian , son of Fingal, is albeit inadvertently , the only-begetter of the hatred thrown up against the revolutionary changes he directly brought in and against the general idea (that he also brought in) that things are always changing and always changing in unpredictable ways.
In this case the hatred is against climate change, but worry not, in time this eternal fear of un-certitudes and against the greys of reality will move on to new targets.
Ossian - if you still remember anything from high school or university -is that 1760s fake creation from the otherwise-obscure James MacPherson that is generally agreed to have sparked the reaction against 18th century Classicalism that we now call 19th Century Romanticism.
If you were only half listening to your teachers you do recall the terms but deflate them to only referring to literature and , maybe, the visual arts.
Wrong, wrong, wrong !
They were not "just" art movements or even - slightly bigger - "political ideologies".
They were the ultimate biggies : all encompassing worldviews held - in their day - by most anybody who was anybody as just common sense, pure and simple.
Hegemonic hegemonies, in other words.
But then, by the 1850s, Romanticism lost much of its short lived hegemony and a highly self-conscious opposing movement emerged (counter-romanticism/pro-classicalism) and was called - by its critics - Late Victorian Scientism.
But it had to share the stage with Romanticism which had by then lost its self-conscious 'movement' nature and merged into simple common sense.
Today most all of us hold bits and pieces of both Romanticism and its Scientism critics inside of us, all in a glorious muddle.
Where we all differ - and all 7 billion of us do differ - is in the proportions of these two we hold inside us as the basis for all our other beliefs.
To Deny is to be anti-Romanticism
Deniers - it is fair to say - are highly un-Romantic , highly pro-Scientism , not withstanding their attacks on today's living, practising, scientists.
The rapid and rabid popularity of MacPherson's "beautiful poetic forgery" across all of Europe, alarming the powers-to-be everywhere.
Hard to imagine poetry doing that today - but think of alarms over Rap lyrics or the reaction against Pussy Riot, to see we scribblers still have the potential to alarm our barely-literate superiors every time we put pen to paper.
Ossian's poetry emerged in the extreme North West of Europe - as far away as possible from Europe's civilized roots in the extreme South East of the continent - Greece and Italy.
Add to this geographic affront to good taste and breeding , was the fact that this was the work not of Greek aristocrats with education and breeding , but of untutored peasants, living in dire poverty under harsh - not azure blue - skies.
Worst of all, the young everywhere - particularly those with the most education and breeding - loved the stuff , tossing aside their millennium old classic texts with disdain.
This Ossian stuff - they said - was the work of pure genius - pure untutored genius !
Genius - then being using for the first time in our modern day sense of the word, was bad enough.
But its association with untutoredness - no, more than that - its association only with untutoredness, was literally Revolutionary, in the widest sense of that over used term.
For this poetry literally revolved - flipped - all previous values on their heads : day was now night, black was now white.
Rude, untutored, uneducated, genius (aka street smarts or native intelligence) was now set ahead of highly (highly expensively) educated people from old families of good breeding and manners.
Think of the same situation today - for very little has changed , at least on the untutored side.
When almost everybody today has to have a certificate of some sort to make a living (even ditch diggers need their heavy equipment operating papers ), some people still get fabulously rich, important and admired, without any sort of certificate.
They even make a point of flaunting their relative lack of professional education or institutional accreditation to account for their success.
They are the same people that arose to threat classicalism and the aristocracy in Ossian's day: entrepreneurs, inventors, writers and entertainers/artists.
Who hasn't seen one's friends, people with too much money and not enough self-honesty, sending their lazy dolts of children off to get highly expensive education to obtain a MBA,PhD, MA in creative writing, BJ or MFA because the kid - when pushed - pretends to a faint interest in 'doing' that sort of thing for a living.
From expensive pre-school, to expensive post doc living expenses subsidies, with expensive educational toys,summer camps, tutors and educational trips to Europe in between, modern parents spent a million 2012 dollars to give their kid 25 years of the best possible education of the old breeding and Grand Tours sort.
The only change is that starting in the 1850s, the need to know the classics to be considered a highly educated part of the natural aristocracy was gradually replaced by a need to know some form of science - say hard like chemistry or soft like economics.
Their kids now know everything that is already known about the past and present of their chosen field: and is not the past and present, a la Charles Lyell , a reliable guide to the future ?
(In reality, all this is really just a way to avoid heavy inheritance taxes on your death, by spending as much of it as possible - now - on your kids' education. You are hoping to ensure the family's wealth and influence moves forward in time via education rather than by inheritances.)
Today's professionals are yesterday's classical aristocracy in a new guise
These are the "heavily-tutored competent". Aka the professionals.
(For I think you could fairly abstract the whole point of this post as me claiming that yesterday's aristocracy: classicalism: professionalism: today's aristocracy.)
But then some uneducated immigrant with chutzpah and drive blasts well past your precious kid's MBA or a tiny garage and an lone inventor discovers what a university full of PhDs like your son could not, or a street kid's painting, writings or comic turn makes her a famous personality while your daughter puts her MFA to work teaching uncaring high school kids in some small city in the Mid West.
Those fracking, fracking, damn untutored geniuses - it just isn't fair !
These guys know nothing of the present or the past - thus leaving them open to make lots of mistakes - and to discover the future.
Bruce Springsteen, Steve Jobs, Richard Branson : all have recently blasted well past kids with 25 expensive years of good education.
They represent as much unplanned, unpredicted, uncertain, mercurial change as Ossian did yesterday or the Climate will for tomorrow - and they are all equally hated by well educated professional deniers cum competent nobodies * of every generation.....
* Our think tanks are just filled with the well breed well educated second rates of this world : little wonder they envy the sudden rises of those superstars of academia the climate scientist.
Tuesday, August 28, 2012
"Progressive" climate change is "oscillatingly impossible" say Deniers & Skeptics
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| ICE AGE but a 'blip in time' |
They just claim it can't change in a progressive fashion (ie steadily hotter or colder) for more than a milli-pause - in geological time - before reversing itself and oscillating back to its long term normal mean level.
Relax warmists : set against the Universe's time line, 50,000 years of a human Catastrophe is but a 'blip in time', happening in some forgotten corner of a vast playground...
An Ice Age just seems like a very long term disaster - to us mere (warmist) mortals down here at ground zero (degrees centigrade).
"But I tell ya bud, ya gotta see The Big Picture, up here high in the sky : what is a mere 50,000 years of ice set against the glorious entire 10 billion years of the Earth's existence ?"
Well , when you put it that way....
And as for humans changing the weather - deniers shout :"Yes We Can ! "
But as for humans changing the climate in a steady, in fact unstoppable - progressive fashion - then they shout : "No We Can't !"
It is always left unclear whether this is the result of physical limits on Man's ability to control Nature (say it ain't so, Joe !) or merely reflecting the comfortable fact that ,morally, we'd never ever do such a bad, bad thing....
1939 & 2039 : does the first world CATASTROPE hold useful lessons for the second ?
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| WWII : first global man-made Catastrophe |
That is one of the inalienable freedoms we gained as we moved into today's post-hegemonic age.
We can now call WWII for what it truly was : a global - man-made - catastrophe.
And if current educated guesstimates are at all accurate, 100 years after this first global catastrophe caused by Man, we'll be well stuck in the next man-made catastrophe : runaway global warming meltdown.
It looks to be far far worse than even 1939-1945 was at its very worst .
The catastrophe of Modernity's very own war
So if there are any scraps of lessons we can salvage from the wreck that was Modernity's very own war, let us by all means find them and apply them, while there still is time.
A scientific cum political ideology can be spectacularly successful rhetorically if it chooses to never test its theories in the real world.
But if its Utopian scientific illusions are not in tune with the physicality and the restraints and limits of the real natural world, it will fail catastrophically when fully challenged.
That is what Modernity discovered in early 1943, on the steppes of Russia, in the waters of the Pacific and the organic chemistry labs of Oxford University.
In 1939-1945 ,The Rhetoric of Modernity hit The Physicality of Reality (and just guess who won ?)
Wednesday, August 22, 2012
Allan Schnaiberg's 1980 nightmare : pollution-producing SkyGods vs impacted-upon earthlings
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| SkyGod Machine in earthling Garden |
But as I have written in an earlier post in SVE, I didn't stumble upon Schnaiberg's seminal concept until I chanced upon the work of Myanna Lahsen --- thanks to the wonders of Google search.
She casually mentioned the concept of earlier-dominant production science versus the contested rise of today's impact science, as if all her readers would know what it meant.
But I didn't --- or rather I did.
It sounds an awful lot like my concept of earlier (pre-war) SkyGod scientists versus later (post-war) earthling scientists.
I eventually traced the meme back to Schnaiberg and a time period almost 40 years ago.
Long past overdue, then, for the concept to be a commonplace and a cliche in the vocabulary of every warmist earthling environmentalist green.
Basically it can be seen as a variant of my beloved contrast between the fundamental second law of thermodynamics (matter and energy gets less and less useful to humanity (aka more and more of it becomes useless particulate pollution and heat pollution) and the derivative first law of thermodynamics.
The sciences of half-truthfulness...
The first law says (as a half truth) that matter and energy can't ever be destroyed but only changed into alternative forms.
A half truth because converting the concentrated energy in the gasoline that powers your Piper Cub into ever so slightly heating the entire Universe does not destroy that energy --- but it certainly ruins for all time its further usefulness for humanity.
In fact, if that waste heat in the air helps heat up the entire atmosphere --- en route to the frozen reaches of the universe --- it is likely to ruin all of humanity as well.
Similarly, impact science is fundamental science while production science is but a half truth science derived from it.
Production science produces a machine which makes lots of widgets, very cheaply and profitably - apparently the end of story.
Impact science visits that once-successful widget machine cum factory in the town of Anywhereville Quebec and discovers that the factory is throwing off deadly pollution that is ever so slowly poisoning the employees at the widget factory. As a result, they are producing less widgets per hour.
It is this, not unfair competition from the Japanese, that is the real cause of the factory owner's declining profits.
Production science is about The Machine, Impact Science is about The Machine in the Garden, with both garden and machine complexly interacting with each other in unpredictable ways.
(Hat tip to Leo Marx for re-applying his famous meme!)
Deniers cum skeptics who deny change in geology, biology, climate and physics still only see science in the simplistic terms and certitudes of production science.
Warmists accept that changes happens and happens unpredictably and are much less sanguine about our ability to correct our own mistakes in time to prevent real harm.
Climate deniers - I steadfastly affirm in the face of zillions of scientist-bloogers who argue to the contrary - do believe in Science.
But it is the older, out-dated, hubristic SkyGod science - not current earthling science .....
Paulie-Ayn Rand : after Nov 6 , libertarian one heartbeat away from nuking the tired , poor, huddled , masses
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| Paulie loves poor me, he loves me not |
Okay, okay,so maybe the President really was born in America and so maybe he is a church-attending member of the Trinity United Church of Christ denomination, but don't think that tongues aren't wagging in the back rooms of the Irreligious Right.
Their Chosen Party, the GOP (God's Only Party), has a Mormon and a Catholic as its ticket --- definitely a first.
But far more important is that the GOP Mick - Paulie-Ayn Rand - claims his number one influence isn't Christ but pro-atheist, pro-abortion, pro-greed, pro-selfishness AYN RAND.
Rand was about as "SkyGoddish" as one one could get.
Libertarians honor their own Trinity, just like Obama : but their Trinity consists of three American women.
Paul Ryan worships atheist pro-abortion home-wrecker Ayn Rand ,not Jesus, but GOP evangelicals don't care Diddley about Jesus : it is all about getting juicy tax breaks...
(Albeit two were foreign born - one in Russia (Ayn) and one in Canada (Isobel Patterson). The third woman, Rose Ingalls Wilder, ironically got rich and selfish co-writing her mother's sentimental "Little House on the Prairie."
Mr Ryan, with his selfish Ayn-inspired philosophy, could be the closest a hard-core libertarian has ever got to world power.
Ryan is only a heartbeat away from the Red Button, only a heartbeat away from nuking America's tired, poor, huddled masses of wretched refuse with his harsh, selfish policies.
Like Mrs Thatcher , Ryan is death on the poor and a denier to the manor born on climate change : a wet is a warmist and a warmist is a wet , is his motto.
Earthlings are dirt, worms - not his fellow beings.
Past time then, to bring back 1964's little Daisy Girl ad from out of the DDB vaults ....*
"Ten, nine, eight, seven......."
The real Daisy Girl was two year old Monique M Corzilius ---- and she was a redhead ---- only the effects of the very bright sunshine on the day of shooting and black and white film made her seem the iconic blond-headed kid !
Tuesday, August 21, 2012
The NEW Normal : barges stuck in mud on America's natural highway, the Mississippi
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| GOP denies this is a DROUGHT ! |
This river system is probably America's best economic advantage - or it was
Forget trucks, planes or trains : this ole man river really totes them bales and moves them freight.
And during this summer,the 'warmist' on record, it is hurtin' - bad......
* Tip of the hat to Mike at Australia's Watching the Deniers (cute name alert !) for maintaining his long running litany of climate change induced natural disasters under the smart title of "THE NEW NORMAL"
Popular science is the 99.99% of us who DON'T read the journal NATURE
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| unread by 99.99% ! |
The British weekly publication NATURE , the most influential science journal by far in the world, sells only about 50,000 copies but its publisher says around 400,000 read it one way or another. So by its own count, less than .01% of the world reads it.
But NATURE is considered required weekly browsing for all professional scientists, in part to to maintain a credible claim that they are professional scientists.
So indirectly, via NATURE's readership, we have some gauge of just how few professional scientists there are in the world.
About the widest possible definition of a scientist says they regularly do scientific research that gets published in credible peer-reviewed journals in their field of endeavour.
It doesn't say they must be paid for doing so, and it does allow for those who could successfully publish their research, if military or commercial powers didn't prevent it, if only temporarily.
It admits that those who write about, administer or teach science may have once been active research scientists and could be so again, so that while not currently professional research scientists, they are at least highly credible critics of published research.
They must number in the range of millions.
Next are those science-trained professionals who only do "hands on" production science or impact science in government or industry but who can read and evaluate articles in their own area of expertise : again they must number in the range of millions, even tens of millions.
Then there are the students in university level science courses who are able to usefully assess a published journal article in their own field of interest : they number in the tens of millions.
All together, perhaps 70 million out of a total world population of 7 billion can make some sense of some of the back page articles in the journal NATURE : the scientific "1% " .
But for the rest of us, the 99 % of us , we need the raw data of those dense and turgid articles filtered and translated by science populariziers.
The editors of NATURE, in the front pages of the journal, do a pretty good job of rendering their back page articles into lay language and assessing why these highly specialized reports of research in obscure areas of science nevertheless matter for the 7 billion "rest of us".
Other science journalists and science book writers also try to render - second hand - what NATURE's articles really mean for the non-professional 99% of humanity.
Among the "us" in the 99% or the 99.99% are the most powerful people in the world : presidents of countries or of corporations, generals, publishers of newspapers , activist movie and rock stars .
We , by our power, our money or (for most of us) by our votes and buying dollars will decide most of the big science issues : not NATURE.
This is hard - in fact impossible - for most lifers in professional science to believe.
"Let us bring forth the real-world facts, as predicted by a successful lab-theory, and what more needs be done ?" they cry.
Maybe, once. Maybe once, most of the science-besotted middle and upper classes in the world would have automatically accepted anything NATURE reported at face value (the religious and the peasantry might have scoffed, but who cares about their opinions ?)
But that was before 1945, and 1965, and 1995 . The popular image of Science has undergone two - opposing - and profound changes.
For about one half of the world, the old, pre-1945 image of the scientist remains the same - only today's real-life scientists don't live up to that image.
For the other one half of the world, the old style scientist has been rejected completely and they rather like the new post-war style of scientist.
All this matters, because both sides do not accept or reject new scientific articles based on their own internal scientific evidence, but rather more based on how they feel about the sort of person who delivers them.
In other words, "if they don't like the messenger, they shoot down the message".
The three filters of Science
This blog is concerned about how science evidence is thrice-filtered, rather like Gaul or Saint Peter's Rooster.
First by the multi-person filter of the scientist, his or her employer-superiors and the journal editor cum referees.
Successfully passing through this filter, private science is now public ( published) science.
Next up on the filter machine are the popular Science gatekeepers : the editors and journalists who decide whether this new research gets splashed, downplayed or even ignored in popular science periodicals and in newspapers and on TV.
Finally past this second filter, how do we, the remaining 98% of humanity, assess it ?
If it is first only widely reported in the UK Guardian newspaper that Tasmania is now seeing tropical fish thanks to human climate change, and then this news item is re-published in a hacked up and mocking manner by the Wall Street Journal , the readers of that latter newspaper are likely to deny its truthfulness as mere "warmist claptrap science".
We are the third and final filter ---the biggest one of them all.
How, and why, do we assess this particular - specialized - bit of new scientific research the way we do ?
We don't - we have a few vivid, semi-permanent, images of "Science" in each of our heads and we simply run every new bit of data against those few rigid memes : and then we award a simple pass or fail.
Fundamentally, whether we prefer our scientists to be pre-war SkyGods or post-war earthlings is the only filter we have to assess all the immense amount of science-related news items that hits us weekly.
This is why, in science as in economics , this blog is focussed on the 99% , not the 1% .....
Monday, August 20, 2012
The reason climate skeptic MUST see conspiracies everywhere
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| Tin Hats against CLIMATE CHANGE |
Suppose you are a DENIER cum SKEPTIC and your honest scientific beliefs teach you that wrenching changes in the Natural World are literally *impossible* and that only moderate oscillations up and down around an eternal norm are possible .
That is, you un-skeptically believe in the sort of self-flattering-to-humanity type of science that is still taught in our High Schools.
Then you must account , if only in your own mind, for why hundreds of millions of other, decent, honest, ordinary people seem so convinced that the climate is drastically and maybe even permanently changing.
To deniers, the only possible rational reason is that these decent honest people have been conned by a conspiracy, with either profit or domination the co-consprators’ true ultimate aim.
We WARMISTS must equally ask ourselves why so many ordinary people on the other side believe so readily in conspiracy wackiness – unless their scientific beliefs have left them with no alternative explanation……
Sunday, August 19, 2012
Dinosaur Sex: Big Oil & Big Media exchange bodily fluids and deny link drought and climate change
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| Under-reported last Holocaust too ! |
It seems that America's biggest media are under-reporting the recent spate of severe drought in the USA ( surely a very big news story to their viewers and readers) and in particular, are ignoring the evidence of its connection to human-caused climate change.
But then these are the same media that under-reported the last Holocaust as well.
Digging up fossil fuel is as dead an industry as daily print newspapers, so perhaps it is only natural both industries are getting horizontally "pumped" and exchanging bodily fluids during their terminal hours in the hospice....
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